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Climate, Security and Migration: Using Advanced Distributed AI Models

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Norway House

17 Rue Archimède

1000 Bruxelles

Belgium

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Discussing opportunities and challenges of using artificial intelligence technologies in the policy decision-making process

About this Event

The Paris Agreement is a milestone, and all parties should take concrete actions to fulfill their commitments. Institutions and processes must be adapted for tomorrow's changes and equipped to take up all the challenges of climate change. There is a shared responsibility to prepare for climate impacts on security and migration. By 2030, more than 60% of the world's poor will live in fragile and crisis contexts. Assessing and anticipating climate risks in the most fragile situations should be a priority.

There is an urgent need for scientific knowledge and tools to provide the necessary information to enable us to move beyond reactive postures and develop proactive strategies. Can we forecast security challenges within specific geographical regions? Can we anticipate future migration flows? Can we further develop early warning systems that will aid in humanitarian preparation?

This conference will give insight into challenges and opportunities regarding the growing impact of climate change on cultural conflict, and describe new tools designed to enhance existing early warning systems, identify changes in natural processes such as droughts and floods, and anticipate potential impacts on socio-economic stability.

The speakers will include representatives from the European External Action Service and the The Joint Research Centre in Ispra, as well as experts on computer modeling working on preventive social simulation technology. Additionally, leaders of a global consortium of scholars and research centres using distributed artificial intelligence technologies to develop computational models that can simulate the social (as well as the physical) effects of climate change, and produce policy-relevant insights to guide decision-making about the use of resources to proactively promote peace, will give insight on the climate-peace-war nexus.

08:30 - 08:45: Coffee and registration

09:00 - 09:10: Opening - Welcome

F. LeRon Shults, Professor at University of Agder & Director of the Center for Modeling Social Systems at NORCE

09:10 - 09:20: Keynote

Dominic Porter, Head of division GLOBAL.2 - Economic and Global Issues, European External Action Service

09:20 - 09:40 - Keynote

Matina Halkia, Team Leader Peace and Stability, The Joint Research Centre in Ispra

9:40 - 10:40: How can we predict and prevent climate-induced conflict and promote peace-building through social simulation using new distributed artificial intelligence?

A New Global Consortium for Climate and Conflict

Monica Toft, Director of the Center for Strategic Studies, Tufts University

Model-Based Reasoning for Resiliency Research

Antje Danielson, Director of the MIT Energy Initiative

Using Distributed Artificial Intelligence and Social Simulation to Forecast Conflict

F. LeRon Shults, Professor at University of Agder & Director of the Center for Modeling Social Systems at NORCE

10:40 - 10:55: Coffee

10:55 - 11:20: Developing New Tools for Prediction and Prevention

Presentation of artificial intelligence based methodologies for enhancing early warning systems and informing policies to proactively address challenges related to the socio-economic effects of climate change

Dr. Justin Lane, Prospectus Solutions

11:20 - 12:10 - Panel Discussion and Audience Engagement - What are the next steps?

Moderator: F. LeRon Shults, Professor at University of Agder & Director of the Center for Modeling Social Systems at NORCE

Panel: Antje Danielson, Director of the MIT Energy Initiative; Monica Duffy Toft Director of the Center for Strategic Studies, Tufts University; Dr. Justin E. Lane, Prospectus Solutions; Dominic Porter, Head of division GLOBAL.2 - Economic and Global Issues, European External Action Service (tbc.)

12:10/12:30-13.00: Networking lunch

13:30-15:30: Workshop on “next steps”

Bringing together key stakeholders, the workshop aims to discuss and generate ideas on practical actions to advance state-of-the-art prediction tools and early warning systems for enhanced policy making and management.

Limited number of places available at the workshop.

Conflict and climate change are major drivers of displacement in Syria. (Illustration photo credit: UNHCR)
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Date and Time

Location

Norway House

17 Rue Archimède

1000 Bruxelles

Belgium

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