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Governance in an Emerging New World, convened by George Shultz

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Location

Hauck Auditorium - David and Joan Traitel Building at the Hoover Institution

435 Lasuen Mall

Stanford, CA 94305

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George P Shultz's project of Governance in an Emerging New World explores the challenges and opportunities for our democracy, our economy, and our security posed by emerging technologies and societal changes. For more, see www.hoover.org/governanceproject


Upcoming Events:

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November 5, 2019, 4:00–5:15pm: Emerging Technology and Nuclear Non-Proliferation

The existential threat posed by nuclear weapons is unique, and states have continuously managed that risk across decades of profound global change. How might changing global demographics, decarbonization, and emerging 21st-century technologies redefine the nature of nuclear materials and weapons proliferation and their use? Leaders from the Nuclear Threat Initiative will explore potential impacts on nuclear proliferation challenges and on counter-proliferation strategies, and panelists will consider the particular risks in the India-Pakistan nuclear standoff.

Moderated by Élisabeth Paté-Cornell, Stanford University and former member of the President’s Foreign Intelligence Advisory Board

Panelists:

- Ernie Moniz, co-chair of the Nuclear Threat Initiative and former US secretary of energy

- Sam Nunn, co-chair of the Nuclear Threat Initiative, former US senator for Georgia and chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee

- Ashley Tellis, senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and former senior advisor at the US embassy in New Delhi


Past Events:

October 7, 2019, 4:00–5:15pm: Governing in an Emerging New World

Many have questioned the impact of new communication technologies on elections, but after the election, one must still govern. And taking advantage of the opportunities afforded by an emerging new world heightens the importance of good US political leadership. But the expanding use of social media and the advent of artificial intelligence and other new technologies are making day-to-day governance even more complicated. Drawing from their experiences in government, journalism, and policy, the panelists will discuss how these social and political dynamics have changed how governments operate and how these new tools can be harnessed to improve the quality of governance in America.

Moderated by Jim Hoagland, Hoover Institution and editor at the Washington Post

Panelists:

- Willie Brown, former mayor of San Francisco and speaker of the California State Assembly

- Jeb Bush, former governor of Florida

- Amanda Daflos, chief innovation officer for the mayor of Los Angeles

- Chris DeMuth, The Hudson Institute

- Dan Henninger, The Wall Street Journal

- Karen Tumulty, The Washington Post


May 14, 2019, 4:00–5:15pm: Stability in an Age of Disruptions

Communications technologies, demographics and the movement of peoples, and climate change are combining to place enormous pressure on democracies and the rule of law, both here in the United States and around the world. The panelists will discuss the impact of these disruptive forces on democratic systems, what can be done to strengthen governance, and how we might learn from when technological and social changes have challenged the capacity of democratic governments in the past.

Moderated by Deborah C Gordon, executive director of the Stanford University preventive defense project

Panelists:

- Larry Diamond, Hoover Institution and Stanford FSI senior fellow, director of the Stanford global digital policy incubator

- Mo Fiorina, Hoover Institution senior fellow and professor of political science at Stanford

- Jack Goldstone, professor and director of the center for the study of social change, institutions, and policy at George Mason University

- Judge Alice Hill, Hoover Institution and former member of the US National Security Council and department of homeland security

- Charles Hill, Hoover Institution and Yale University, former US State Department and United Nations special advisor


May 6, 2019, 4:00–5:15pm: Emerging Technology and America's Economy

Artificial intelligence, advanced manufacturing, and other new technologies appear poised to transform the world economy, and, though the transition may be painful, the United States is well-positioned to take advantage of these new opportunities. Panelists will discuss the impact of changing demographics and advancing technology on the U.S. economy and what the United States can do to manage these changes and seize their potential, including improving the educational system, removing bias in AI, and ensuring a growing, productive population.

Moderated by Gopi Shah Goda, deputy director at the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research

Panelists:

- Erik Brynjolfsson, professor at MIT Sloan School and director of the MIT initiative on the digital economy

- Dipayan Ghosh, Shorenstein Center at Harvard University and former White House advisor

- James Hollifield, professor of political science at Southern Methodist University and director of the Tower Center

- John B Taylor, Hoover Institution senior fellow and professor of economics at Stanford University

- Van Ton-Quinlivan, executive vice chancellor of workforce and digital futures at the California Community Colleges emeritus


April 22, 2019, 4:00–5:15pm: The Middle East in an Emerging World

Political upheaval, violence, and the Sunni-Shia divide have defined the Middle East and North Africa to outside observers for many years, but states across the region also confront shared global challenges of demographic transitions and governance in the age of social media, as well as the compelling economic potential of new technologies. The discussion will address what these profound undercurrents, as well as the changing climate and expanding role of women, mean for the major Arab states, Turkey, Iran, and Israel.

Moderated by Abbas Milani, Hoover Institution and director of the Iranian studies program at Stanford University

Panelists:

- Prince Hicham Alaoui of Morocco, Harvard University

- Houssem Aoudi, cofounder and CEO at Afkar Tunisia

- Lisa Blaydes, professor of political science at Stanford University

- Arye Carmon, Hoover Institution and founder of the Israel Democracy Institute

- Aykan Erdemir, Foundation for Defense of Democracies

- Roya Pakzad, global digital policy incubator at Stanford University


April 8, 2019, 4:00–5:15pm: Health and the Changing Environment

The changing environment is introducing new health risks and challenges alongside an increasingly interconnected world. Extreme weather events and warming climates encourage infectious diseases and pandemics to spread, while potentially disrupting ecosystem services and "supply chains" that today's economies rely upon. Panelists will discuss the health and social consequences of climate change and how new technologies enable us to mitigate their effects.

Moderated by Lucy Shapiro, professor of developmental biology at Stanford University and director of the Beckman Center for Molecular & Genetic Medicine

Panelists:

- Dr Milana Boukhman Trounce, Stanford emergency medicine department and director of Stanford biosecurity and infectious disease disaster response

- Dr Kari Nadeau, professor of pediatrics at Stanford University and director of the Sean Parker Center for Allergy and Asthma Research

- Stephen Quake, professor of bioengineering and of applied physics at Stanford University and co-president of the Chan Zuckerberg Biohub


February 25, 2019, 4:00–5:15pm: Emerging Technology and America's National Security

The United States finds itself in strategic competition with China and Russia at the same time as its traditional technological superiority faces emergent challenges. The participants will address how new military technologies might change the strategic dynamic in both Europe and in the Pacific and what these weapons may mean for non-state actors.

Moderated by Admiral James O. Ellis, Jr. (USN, Ret.), Hoover Institution

Panelists:

- Gen. Philip Breedlove (USAF, Ret.), former Supreme Allied Commander Europe

- Col. T.X. Hammes (USMC, Ret.), National Defense University

- Capt. Katie Hedgecock, US Army and Stanford University

- Margaret Kosal, Georgia Institute of Technology

- Adm. Gary Roughead (USN, Ret.), Hoover Institution and former Chief of Naval Operations

- Ralph Semmel, director of Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory


February 4, 2019, 4:00–5:15pm: Europe in an Emerging World

The Europe of the early 21st century is rapidly changing, as European institutions evolve, populations age, and new political forces emerge. The panelists will review how internet and communications technologies, new means of production, and rapid flows of people are affecting governance across the continent.

Moderated by Jim Hoagland, Hoover Institution and editor at the Washington Post

Panelists:

- Caroline Atkinson, former head of global policy at Google

- Christopher Caldwell, Claremont Review of Books

- William Drozdiak, Brookings Institution

- Nicole Perlroth, The New York Times


January 14, 2019, 4:00–5:15pm: Africa in an Emerging World

Africa will be home to much of world’s population growth in coming decades, giving it a young, growing, and increasingly urbanized population. At the same time, it faces economic challenges and will acutely feel the effects of a changing climate. The discussion will explore what these demographic and environmental dynamics, alongside the promise of advancing technologies and new means of communications, will mean for governance and development across the continent.

Moderated by Ambassador George Moose, United States Institute of Peace and former assistant secretary of state for African affairs.

Panelists:

- Tony Carroll, Manchester Trade

- Ambassador Chester Crocker, Georgetown University and former assistant secretary of state for African affairs

- Mark Giordano, Georgetown University

- Jack Goldstone, George Mason University

- Andre Pienaar, C5 Capital

- Shivani Siroya, founder and CEO of tala.co


December 3, 2018, 3:30–5:00pm: Latin America in an Emerging World

Foreign policy starts in the neighborhood. Workforces in Mexico, Central America, and South America continue to expand, but growth will slow dramatically from historical rates. The panel will address how new digital technologies are affecting employment and the economic development of our southern neighbors, as well as migration pressures. It will also consider how the public transparency offered by new forms of communications may change governance and institutions. What can citizens, organizations, and governments across the region—and in the United States—do to help take advantage of these emerging transformational opportunities while avoiding potential pitfalls?

Moderated by the Honorable Pedro Aspe, former secretary of finance of Mexico

Panelists:

- Richard Aitkenhead, former minister of economics and minister of public finance of Guatemala

- Silvia Giorguli, president of El Colegio de México

- Claudia Masferrer, assistant professor and coordinator of the Seminar on Migration, Inequality and Public Policy at El Colegio de México

- Ernesto Silva, distinguished visiting fellow at the Hoover Institution and former president of the Unión Demócrata Independiente (UDI) party in Chile

- Ben Sywulka, founder of Hapi.vc and former director of the Private Competitiveness Council of Guatemala


November 13, 2018, 3:30–5:00pm: The Information Challenge to Democracy

The communications revolution has surrounded society with information, some right and some wrong, and enabled people to communicate and organize like never before. It gives new dimensions to the old challenge of governing over diversity. Participants will examine the rapid spread of information and means of communicating and suggest responses to the governance challenges posed by social media, fake news, and the decline of confidence in institutions. The discussion will address means to protect the political process against conflict and potential polarization stirred up through social media networks and potential rules of the road to govern information warfare.

Moderated by the Honorable Condoleezza Rice, Hoover Institution

Panelists:

- Niall Ferguson, Hoover Institution

- Joseph Nye, Harvard University


October 29, 2018, 3:30–5:00pm: China in an Emerging World

Even as its economy continues to grow, and it becomes a world leader in technology, China must also contend with an aging, unbalanced population and the information revolution. The discussion will examine China’s pursuit of next-generation technologies for economic, political, and military purposes as well as its changing demographics and widespread use—both by individuals and the government—of new means of communications.

Moderated by Admiral Gary Roughead (USN, ret.), Hoover Institution

Panelists:

- Nicholas Eberstadt, American Enterprise Institute

- Elsa Kania, Center for a New American Security

- Kai-Fu Lee, Sinovation Ventures

- Maria Repnikova, Georgia State University

- Stapleton Roy, former US ambassador to China


October 3, 2018, 3:30–5:00pm: Russia in an Emerging World

Faced with an aging and shrinking population and a weak economy, Russia’s future appears uncertain. Participants will explore how Russia is taking on the challenges posed by an aging and declining population and attempting to exploit the economic and military potential of advancing technologies.

Moderated by Kori Schake, International Institute for Strategic Studies

Panelists:

- David Holloway, Freeman Spogli Institute at Stanford University

- Stephen Kotkin, Princeton and Hoover Institution

- Michael McFaul, former US ambassador to Russia

- Maria Smekalova, Russian International Affairs Council


About the Project:

New and rapid societal and technological changes are complicating governance around the globe and challenging traditional thinking. Demographic changes and migration are having a profound effect as some populations age and shrink while other countries expand. The information and communications revolution is making governance much more difficult and heightening the impact of diversity. Emerging technologies, especially artificial intelligence and automation, are bringing about a new industrial revolution, disrupting workforces and increasing military capabilities of both states and non-state actors. And new means of production such as additive manufacturing and automation are changing how, where, and what we produce. These changes are coming quickly, faster than governments have historically been able to respond.

Led by Hoover Distinguished Fellow George P Shultz, his Project on Governance in an Emerging New World aims to understand these changes and inform strategies that both address the challenges and take advantage of the opportunities afforded by these dramatic shifts.

The project features a series of papers and events addressing how these changes are affecting democratic processes, the economy, and national security of the United States, and how they are affecting countries and regions, including Russia, China, Europe, Africa, and Latin America. A set of essays by the participants will accompany each event and provide thoughtful analysis of the challenges and opportunities.


For essays by each topic's authors, and for event livestreams, please visit www.hoover.org/governanceproject approximately one week in advance of each event.


Seating capacity may be limited. If you need a disability-related accommodation or wheelchair access information, please contact: Sheila Sanchez/Diversity and Access Office at (650) 725-0326 or email: sheilas@stanford.edu. Requests should be made at least one week in advance of each event. For Stanford campus parking and transportation information see http://visit.stanford.edu/plan

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Location

Hauck Auditorium - David and Joan Traitel Building at the Hoover Institution

435 Lasuen Mall

Stanford, CA 94305

View Map

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