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Temperature as a driver of regional forest drought stress & tree mortality

SWFSC

Wednesday, January 16, 2013 from 12:00 PM to 1:00 PM (MST)

Temperature as a driver of regional forest drought...

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Temperature as a potent driver of regional forest drought stress and tree mortality

Wednesday January 16, 2013, 12pm MST

Dr. Park Williams will discuss his recent work to derive a forest drought-stress index (FDSI) for the southwestern United States using a comprehensive tree-ring data set representing AD 1000–2007. This FDSI is linked to measures of forest productivity, mortality, bark-beetle outbreak and wildfire. If climate models are accurate, the mean forest drought-stress by the 2050s will exceed that of the most severe droughts in the past 1,000 years. Collectively, the results foreshadow twenty-first-century changes in forest structures and compositions, with transition of forests in the southwestern United States, and perhaps water-limited forests globally, towards distributions unfamiliar to modern civilization.

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