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Synthesising uncertainties of transient sea level rise projections

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Australian-German Climate & Energy College

Level 1, 187 Grattan Street

Carlton, VIC 3053

Australia

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Global sea levels will continue to rise over the 21st century and beyond with profound consequences for coastal populations and infrastructure. Efficient tools are needed to assess the long-term sea level response under plausible climate futures.

As part of this PhD project, a comprehensive sea level emulator has been developed and applied for robust long-term sea level rise projections to 2300. The new MAGICC sea level model allows in-depth uncertainty analysis of sea level rise projections for a wide range of scenarios.

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Alex Nauels studied Geography in Berlin and Climate Science in Bern. Before starting his PhD project in Melbourne he worked at the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Working Group I Technical Support Unit during the Fifth Assessment cycle. Alex draws on his work experience to develop research questions related to changes in climate systems that potentially have severe societal consequences. He hopes to contribute to a better understanding of the physical implications of different climate futures.

For his doctorate, Alex is synthesizing knowledge about multi-centennial sea level rise projections.

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Australian-German Climate & Energy College

Level 1, 187 Grattan Street

Carlton, VIC 3053

Australia

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