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Predicting Elections

The Program for Economic Research and SIPA, Columbia University

Wednesday, March 27, 2013 from 6:15 PM to 7:45 PM (PDT)

Predicting Elections

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Predicting Elections Ended Free  

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Event Details

A panel discussion featuring:

Nate Silver

New York Times blogger and author of The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-But Some Don't

Phil Tetlock

Leonore Annenberg University Professor of Management and Psychology, University of Pennsylvania

Justin Wolfers

Professor of Economics and Public Policy, University of Michigan


Moderated by

Navin Kartik

Professor of Economics, Columbia University


Few events are as central to democratic countries and their economies as an election. This panel will discuss different approaches  that are used today to predict the outcome of an election - comparing the value of information from experts, polls, surveys, time  series, betting markets and others, as well as their shortfalls - and reflect on our ability today to forecast political events.

A reception will follow the panel presentation.

When & Where

1501 International Affairs Building
420 W 118th St
New York, NY 10027

Wednesday, March 27, 2013 from 6:15 PM to 7:45 PM (PDT)

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The Program for Economic Research and SIPA, Columbia University

The Program for Economic Research (PER) was formed to enhance and to develop resources to support the research and teaching mission of the Department of Economics at Columbia University.  The Program organizes conferences, symposia, and public programming, and it conducts outreach to foster an interchange of ideas between the economics faculty and the business and policy worlds.

For 70 years, Columbia University’s School of International and Public Affairs has been educating professionals who work in public, private and nonprofit organizations to make a difference in the world. Through rigorous social science research and hands-on practice, SIPA’s graduates and faculty strive to improve social services, advocate for human rights, strengthen markets, protect the environment, and secure peace, in their home communities and around the world.

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