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AFIO Presents: Dr. William H. Overholt on China's Crisis of Success

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War Memorial Veterans Building

401 Van Ness Avenue

Room 201

San Francisco, CA 94102

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Date: Friday, December 7, 2018

Time: 6:00PM - 9:00PM

Location: San Francisco War Memorial Building, 405 Van Ness Avenue, Lecture Hall 210, San Francisco

Speaker: Dr. William H. Overholt: President of Fung Global Institute; Senior Research Fellow at John F. Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University and Principal of AsiaStrat, LLC.

Topic: China's Crisis of Success

All proceeds from this meeting will be donated to the Veteran's Success Center (VSC).

China's Crisis of Success provides new perspectives on China's rise to superpower status, showing that China has reached a threshold where success has eliminated the conditions that enabled miraculous growth. Continued success requires re-invention of its economy and politics. The old economic strategy based on exports and infrastructure now piles up debt without producing sustainable economic growth, and Chinese society now resists the disruptive change that enabled earlier reforms. While China's leadership has produced a strategy for successful economic transition, it is struggling to manage the politics of implementing that strategy. William H. Overholt explores critical social issues of the transition, notably inequality, corruption, environmental degradation, and globalization. He argues that Xi Jinping is pursuing the riskiest political strategy of any important national leader. Alternative outcomes include continued impressive growth and political stability, Japanese-style stagnation, and a major political-economic crisis.

Dr. William H. Overholt is president of Fung Global Institute and an expert on Asia and US-Asia relations. He is a Senior Research Fellow at John F. Kennedy School of Government's Ash Center for Democratic Governance and Innovation at Harvard University and is the principal of AsiaStrat, LLC, a consulting firm.

Dr. Overholt has a long history of analyzing Asia for both the public and private sectors. He has served as political advisor to several of Asia's major political figures and has done consulting projects for Korea Development Institute, The Nuclear Threat Initiative, the Philippine Department of Agrarian Reform and Thailand's Ministry of Universities. His consulting experience ranges from strategic planning to foreign affairs to the Conference Board, U.S. Army Strategic Studies Institute, the Foreign Service Institute, Dean Witter Reynolds, A.G. Becker & Co, MacMillan Bloedel, Honda MOtor Company, Tong Yang Securities, 13-D Research, Matterhorn Palmyra Fund, and numerous other corporations.

He is the author of six books, including Asia, America and the Transformation of Geopolitics (Cambridge University Press, 2008). The Rise of China (W.W. Norton, 1993 was the first book to predict China’s economic and geopolitical success and won the Mainichi News/Asian Affairs Research Center Special Book Prize. His work on forecasting methods includes books on Political Risk and Strategic Planning and Forecasting (Wiley, 1983). He edited the first book on nuclear proliferation and nuclear strategies in Asia, Asia’s Nuclear Future (Praeger, 1976).

Dr. Overholt’s political advising has included intense involvement in Zimbabwe’s movement to independence (1979-1981), South Korean domestic conflicts in 1980, the Phillipeans revolution of 1986, Burma's insurgent wars of the late 1980s, and Hong Kong’s transition. He served as head of the Asia Policy Task Force for the 39th President of the United States Jimmy Carter's campaign in 1976.


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Location

War Memorial Veterans Building

401 Van Ness Avenue

Room 201

San Francisco, CA 94102

View Map

Refund Policy

No Refunds

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