$40 – $50

ACAP Silicon Valley Chapter Speaker Series: Decision Making

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Tarragon Restaurant

140 South Murphy Avenue

Sunnyvale, CA 94086

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Dear ACAP members and friends,

We are happy to announce another great chapter meetup for local Croatian-American professionals and friends!

This event's theme will be Decision Making and what lies behind it in a corporate and personal environment. It is our pleasure to convene two fantastic individuals and specialists that bring profound Decision Management understanding from their rich corporate, real-life and academia bacgrounds.




Can We Predict the Future?

It's notoriously hard to predict the future. Here's a few examples, pundits routinely get things wrong, few predicted the Brexit outcome. The 2008 financial crisis and the 9/11 attacks also came as a surprise. Indeed, false bets have been the theme of the last American primary season, with New York Times columnist Ross Douthat tweeting that "the entire commentariat is going to feel a little silly when Marco Rubio wins every Republican primary" and FiveThirtyEight's Harry Enten writing that Donald Trump had a better chance of playing in the NBA finals than winning the Republican nomination.

If economists and experts of various political persuasions can't predict what's ahead, can anyone?

The answer is a qualified YES.

Join us at ACAP to hear a talk about the ways forecasting can be done in a measured, repeatable way that demonstrably beats predictions of domain experts by margins as wide as 60%.

At this talk you will hear an a brief overview of approaches developed as part of the Good Judgement Project (GJP) that can systematically improve your organization's forecasting to catalyze better decision-making. The same techniques can be used to improve one's personal life by involving forecasting rigor into important life decisions. On a personal level we make so many decisions via mental processes which are influenced by biases, reason, emotions and memories.

Here's what IARPA had to say after team GJP won their competition between various forecasting approaches:

"Team Good Judgment, led by Philip Tetlock and Barbara Mellers of the University of Pennsylvania, beat the control group by more than 50%. This is the largest improvement in judgmental forecasting accuracy observed in the literature."
Steven Rieber, Program Manager, Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA)




Speakers:

| Boris Debic |
(CHO, Google)

Boris is a Google engineer. He holds an M.Sc. in Physics from the University of Zagreb, Croatia. At Google he has worked in several roles: Developer Relations, G+Privacy, Release engineering, Global Infrastructure, Datacenter site location, Ads serving infrastructure. He has worked with Google.org on analysis and exchange of global climate modeling sets and agricultural data to provide food security forecasts. With support from NASA Ames he directs Mars Society's NorCal Rover project. He is advisory member on the boards of several high tech startup companies. Prior to Google he held positions in: Silicon Valley startups, most notably E.piphany; the United Nations; the Croatian Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the University of Zagreb. Boris brings valuable insight from his active involvement in the Good Judgement Project.

| Ana Havelka Mestrovic, PhD |
(Lecturer and Research Associate, RIT; Postdoctoral Fulbright Fellow at Stanford University School of Medicine)

Ana is a research associate in interdisciplinary science, cognitive science, psychology and medicine. She is a lecturer at the Rochester Institute of Technology in Croatia (RIT Croatia) on psychology classes. She is also an external associate and course leader at the Croatian Catholic University. Prof. Havelka Mestrovic is also a licensed psychotherapist by the European Association of Integrative Psychotherapy (EAIP). She attained many years of work experience in neuropsychology and clinical psychology through Croatia's public healthcare system and is the co-owner of a private psychological / psychiatric office called MensSana d.o.o. where he specializes in stress management programs for large corporations with application of biofeedback and neurofeedback methods. She has attended many conferences worldwide and authored and/or co-authored many scientific publications.





Agenda:

  • SV Chapter Executive Board update

  • ACAP 2018 National Conference committee updates

  • Featured speakers Decision Making panel:

    Boris Debic
    (CHO, Google)

    Prof. Ana Havelka Mestrovic
    (RIT, Fulbright Fellow, Stanford University)

  • Attendee open mic / Personal introductions

  • Open networking time


Dinner will be included in the ticket price and $5 of each ticket price will go towards ACAP's 2018 Silicon Valley conference fund for 2018.

Click here to access CroAmPro.com and sign up for membership to get member benefits and more information on future events.

We are looking forward to seeing you all!


Let's prosper together!



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Date and Time

Location

Tarragon Restaurant

140 South Murphy Avenue

Sunnyvale, CA 94086

View Map

Refund Policy

No Refunds

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