23rd Federal Forecasters Conference

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US Bureau of Labor Statistics

2 Massachusetts Avenue Northeast

Washington, DC 20212

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FFC/2020: The 23rd Federal Forecasters Conference

Date: Thursday, April 30, 2020

Location: Bureau of Labor Statistics Conference and Training Center

2 Massachusetts Avenue, NE

Washington, DC 20212

Check-In: 8:00 a.m. - 9:00 a.m.

Schedule: 9:00 a.m. - 4:15 p.m.

(Plenary and concurrent session schedule to follow)

Abstract Submissions Due: March 15, 2020

Contest Entry Deadline: April 1, 2020

Register Online By: April 20, 2020

There is no charge for participation

Theme: Forecasting in the Presence of Missing Data

Forecasters draw upon current and historical data to make predictions about likely future outcomes. In many instances, though, the data available to forecasters are incomplete or delayed. Missing data have consequences for the accuracy of forecasts whether researchers are aware of its presence or not. Sometimes there are lags in the collection or release of data, which can be revised in future periods. In other cases, data are permanently missing due to coverage error or nonresponse. Missing data are a growing concern for researchers and practitioners as technological changes in communication methods mean that those without a landline telephone or internet access are increasingly excluded from sample frames. Further, privacy concerns and mistrust of the government limit people’s willingness to participate in surveys creating higher nonresponse rates. The 2020 Federal Forecasters Conference will consider the impact of missing data on forecasts. How does missing data affect forecasts, and what techniques can forecasters use when faced with missing data?

At FFC/2020, presenters from a variety of agencies will share their experience in developing and using forecasts. Add your voice to the conversation! Please join our discussion of the unique role played by federal forecasts, and how forecasts are used by the government, private industry, and the public.

~ Suggested Presentation Topics for the Afternoon Sessions ~

●Scenario analysis as forecasts in policy-making ●Forecast evaluations

●Case studies: Using forecasts in policy decision making ●Forecast methodologies

●Forecast process: How can it be improved? ●Forecasting with limited resources

●Federal forecasters and their customers ●General topics in forecasting

~ Sponsoring Agencies ~

Bureau of Economic Analysis

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Congressional Budget Office

Department of Veterans Affairs

Economic Research Service, USDA

Federal Aviation Administration

Federal Reserve Board

Internal Revenue Service

Office of Economic Policy, U.S. Department of the Treasury

U.S. Census Bureau

U.S. Department of Labor

U.S. Department of Treasury

U.S. Energy Information Administration, Office of Energy Analysis

U.S. Geological Survey

~ Partnering Organizations ~

Research Program on Forecasting, The George Washington University

Society of Government Economists

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US Bureau of Labor Statistics

2 Massachusetts Avenue Northeast

Washington, DC 20212

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