Haven't read the book? No problem. We'll cover the key points and give you the SynkNotes for you to review later. Light lunch included.
Here is the problem: Too much information, not enough understanding (too much noise, not a clear enough signal).
The Signal and The Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail -- But Some Don't by Nate Silver addresses how to be more accurate in your predictions. By being more "probabilistic." Great information and understanding about how we sabotage our own predictive abilities by not acknowledging our biases, and how we allow them to hide the patterns, the "signals", in the data. Nate Silver has done more than just study and explain how to predict things; he's an expert predictor. He called the 2012 presidential election exactly right, state by state, county by county. The outcome wasn't a surprise to him.
My Synopis of the Book:
- "Want to improve your ability to predict and forecast the future results of your business? The future of the markets you serve? The future needs of your customer? You need to adopt being 'probabilistic' and this book teaches you how to do that."
Doors open at 11:45. Review starts at noon. Be finished by 12:45. Feel free to keep the discussion going until 1:15.
See you then. Spread the word.
When & Where
In-Synk: Aligning Strategy. Actions and Goals