A panel discussion featuring:
New York Times blogger and author of The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-But Some Don't
Leonore Annenberg University Professor of Management and Psychology, University of Pennsylvania
Professor of Economics and Public Policy, University of Michigan
Professor of Economics, Columbia University
Few events are as central to democratic countries and their economies as an election. This panel will discuss different approaches that are used today to predict the outcome of an election - comparing the value of information from experts, polls, surveys, time series, betting markets and others, as well as their shortfalls - and reflect on our ability today to forecast political events.
A reception will follow the panel presentation.
When & Where
Program for Economic Research
The Program for Economic Research (PER) was formed to enhance and to develop resources to support the research and teaching mission of the Department of Economics at Columbia University. The Program organizes conferences, symposia, and public programming, and it conducts outreach to foster an interchange of ideas between the economics faculty and the business and policy worlds.