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Predicting Elections Ended Free  

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Event Details

A panel discussion featuring:

Nate Silver

New York Times blogger and author of The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-But Some Don't

Phil Tetlock

Leonore Annenberg University Professor of Management and Psychology, University of Pennsylvania

Justin Wolfers

Professor of Economics and Public Policy, University of Michigan


Moderated by

Navin Kartik

Professor of Economics, Columbia University


Few events are as central to democratic countries and their economies as an election. This panel will discuss different approaches  that are used today to predict the outcome of an election - comparing the value of information from experts, polls, surveys, time  series, betting markets and others, as well as their shortfalls - and reflect on our ability today to forecast political events.

A reception will follow the panel presentation.

When & Where

1501 International Affairs Building
420 W 118th St
New York, NY 10027

Wednesday, March 27, 2013 from 6:15 PM to 7:45 PM (PDT)

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The Program for Economic Research and the Program in the Law and Economics of Capital Markets, Columbia University

The Program for Economic Research (PER) was formed to enhance and to develop resources to support the research and teaching mission of the Department of Economics at Columbia University.  The Program organizes conferences, symposia, and public programming, and it conducts outreach to foster an interchange of ideas between the economics faculty and the business and policy worlds.

Jointly based at Columbia Law School and Columbia Business School, the Program in the Law and Economics of Capital Markets aims to advance informed capital markets regulation as well as the efficient operation of the markets themselves. 

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