Wednesday, March 27, 2013 from 6:15 PM to 7:45 PM (PDT)
New York, NY
A panel discussion featuring:
New York Times blogger and author of The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-But Some Don't
Leonore Annenberg University Professor of Management and Psychology, University of Pennsylvania
Professor of Economics and Public Policy, University of Michigan
Professor of Economics, Columbia University
Few events are as central to democratic countries and their economies as an election. This panel will discuss different approaches that are used today to predict the outcome of an election - comparing the value of information from experts, polls, surveys, time series, betting markets and others, as well as their shortfalls - and reflect on our ability today to forecast political events.
A reception will follow the panel presentation.